Unlucked

I got unlucked. Again.

Day 4 in a row.

Five out of six.

And it is sick.

I don’t want to go on and on about bad beats, but these are just sick.

For your entertainment and my therapy, here is what happened yesterday:

I am in the big blind with 8-6 off.

The player under the gun limps in.

The player two off the big blind also limps in.

Everyone else folds.

The flop comes 7-5-4 rainbow.

I flopped the nut straight.

I have three options:

  1. Fold the nuts since my hand can only get worse;
  2. Bet the nuts hard like most marginal-to-bad players;
  3. Check the nuts.

I choose check.

Next player bets big.

The next player re-raises big.

Now what?

I am thinking BB+1 has an over pair and BB+2 has either two pair or a set.

I have both players beat. I am way, way ahead in this hand.

I choose to smooth call.

BB+1 goes all-in.

BB+2 calls.

What choice do I have? I have to call. I have the fucking nuts.

BB+1 shows K-K.

I laughed to myself.

How can anyone play K-K with a straight on board and a re-raise?

BB+2 shows bottom two pair.

I start running the scenarios through my head.

If the board pairs 4 or 5, I am beat. There is a 16% chance of this on the turn and 9% chance on the river.

Mr. Kings can only win with runner-runner 7s, runner-runner Kings, or running King and 7, 5, or 4.

For all intents and purposes, Mr. Kings is damn near drawing dead.

The turn is a 7.

Wow.

Now Mr. Two Pair has three pair. He still needs a 5 or 4 and is a 9-to-1 dog.

Mr. Kings, however, is half-way to making a hand. Any King or 7 has me beat. Like Mr. Three Pair, he also has a four-outer and is a 9-to-1 dog.

I start to think my bad run is finally over.

I will finally beat the bad players (neither one of these guys should have committed all their chips with this flop) with skill.

The river card comes.

It is a 7.

Mr. Kings went runner-runner full house.

I got unlucked. Again.

I played it right. And got outdrawn and outlucked.

The session has a bit of symmetry to it.

I rebuy and find myself with K-K.

I bet hard pre-flop and get one caller.

I put him on a weak ace.

The flop comes Ks-Kd-Qd.

I check the quad Kings.

My opponent bets hard.

I call.

The turn is 10d.

Now there is a straight, flush, and royal flush possibility.

In the casino I am at, quads beaten by a royal flush would pay a $300,000 bad beat jackpot.

I check.

My opponent “Ace” bets hard.

Ok, a really really bad player would bet hard on the nuts. But we are talking possible bad beat here. Even the worst players would not want me to fold.

I put him on four to the flush and smooth call.

The river card is … yes, you guessed it: a fucking nightmare! It is the Jd.

Ace makes his royal flush. That is the bad news. The worst news is he did it with one card which makes us ineligible for the bad beat jackpot.

I check.

He bets off the rest of his chips.

I fold and show quad Kings.

He shows Ad-6h.

“You called $50 pre-flop with that hand?” I ask.

“Sure. I had an ace.”

No, you got damn lucky.

And I got unlucked. Again.

Alltop. I don't know how I got there either.

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